Withdrawal rate

Withdrawal rate turns spending into a target portfolio.

Undefeated sets the spending-based check with a portfolio target. For context, 25x annual spending is mathematically equivalent to a 4% spending-to-portfolio ratio. The separate duration requirement still applies.

Question this answersHow does a withdrawal rate change the target portfolio?
Simple termsEstimate, not adviceExplains calculator inputs
  1. 01
    What it means

    Start with the plain meaning.

  2. 02
    How it affects the year

    See how this connects to the estimate.

  3. 03
    What to check

    See what the estimate leaves out.

Why this matters

What this means.

For example, if yearly spending is £40,000, a 25x target asks the calculator to test £1 million as one of its two capital checks. £40,000 is 4% of £1 million. That relationship is not another input or proof that withdrawing 4% each year will be sustainable.

Year impact

How this can move the year.

A higher portfolio target requires more capital and can move the Financial Independence Year later. A lower target can move it earlier, but not when the separate duration requirement still governs.

How it is used

How the calculation uses it.

Tools uses your selected portfolio target multiple. Its reciprocal describes the spending-based target; the spending share on your result instead uses projected assets at the FI Year. The two percentages can differ. The spending share is not a separate calculator input, and neither percentage prescribes a rate. Undefeated does not model changing withdrawals, tax, sequence risk, or spending after that year.

Estimate limits

What can make the estimate change.

The estimate can move when you change spending or expected real return. Tax, access to money and later withdrawal patterns are not modeled separately, so the year cannot tell you how those will unfold.

Checks

Checks before you use the number.

Use these prompts to read the estimate carefully. They are not recommendations.

  • Check the portfolio target selected in Tools before interpreting a withdrawal-rate equivalent.
  • Remember that a reciprocal percentage describes the spending-based target, not how the portfolio will perform after the Financial Independence Year.
  • Compare the portfolio target amount with the separate duration requirement shown in the result.

Read next

Read one assumption at a time, then use the calculator when you want to test the inputs.

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